We run actual questions through 3Dogs Nexus, put our reasoning on the table, and — where we can — get graded against the outcome. Here’s where that lives.
Same question to both. Google Gemini answered in seconds — and did it well. 3Dogs answered in 4 minutes with a probability spread, a 9-analyst debate, graded evidence, and a date to be scored on. The right tool depends on who’s asking.
Anyone can sound confident. Calibration is the only edge that compounds — so we show the reasoning, surface the disagreement, and put an expiration date on our forecasts. If we’re going to claim a better process, the honest thing is to let you watch it work and check it against what actually happened.